Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 10.482691 11.615886 12.833351 14.240768 15.825608 17.558059 19.599344
2025-09-14 8.579258 10.103908 11.858480 14.035727 16.677004 19.792482 23.767726
2025-09-21 7.151960 8.861694 10.946160 13.693977 17.249677 21.734368 27.880571
2025-09-28 6.171899 7.988530 10.316747 13.553071 17.988316 23.930889 32.626741
2025-10-05 5.627010 7.576182 10.190266 14.005681 19.521709 27.346200 39.538095
2025-10-12 5.170652 7.209649 10.057225 14.400533 20.993697 30.852132 47.144683
2025-10-19 4.704891 6.764061 9.744017 14.470410 21.965975 33.722271 54.231438
2025-10-26 4.266404 6.302046 9.342670 14.337350 22.578388 36.081189 60.847006
2025-11-02 3.880732 5.874076 8.938072 14.134786 23.027476 38.201577 67.373870
2025-11-09 3.541785 5.481505 8.542141 13.888249 23.351050 40.122724 73.833325
2025-11-16 3.261855 5.154065 8.213822 13.708829 23.752443 42.212508 80.948595
2025-11-23 3.035828 4.892292 7.965149 13.632481 24.316984 44.661834 89.197008
2025-11-30 2.889197 4.754877 7.921177 13.930782 25.648136 48.840219 102.039096
2025-12-07 2.690576 4.510673 7.668583 13.817046 26.171539 51.493826 112.109793
2025-12-14 2.487024 4.240097 7.343554 13.528875 26.307415 53.362833 120.771517
2025-12-21 2.329289 4.037643 7.122818 13.416478 26.785688 56.034026 131.937672
2025-12-28 2.260952 3.991915 7.187930 13.879500 28.545856 61.845399 152.390722
2026-01-04 2.189165 3.933045 7.221354 14.279394 30.221711 67.744683 174.548119
2026-01-11 2.085538 3.804718 7.107206 14.353756 31.167869 72.045235 193.334294
2026-01-18 1.968830 3.641684 6.909480 14.224783 31.619739 75.185518 209.527803
2026-01-25 1.854848 3.475311 6.690792 14.025614 31.875782 77.863711 225.012699
2026-02-01 1.745961 3.311125 6.463099 13.782112 31.990531 80.187510 240.000168
2026-02-08 1.651837 3.170144 6.272623 13.604733 32.249919 82.957077 257.249413